The next (last) 100 Years

December 3rd, 02007 by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander

I was recently reminded of this great prediction article by John Watkins published in the 01900 Ladies Home Journal.

Particularly interesting for how much it gets right and wrong, sometimes in the same prediction. Some examples of the 29 predictions:

  • There will be air-ships, but they will not successfully compete with surface cars and water vessels for passenger or freight traffic. They will be maintained as deadly war-vessels by all military nations. Some will transport men and goods. Others will be used by scientists making observations at great heights above the earth.
  • Photographs will be telegraphed from any distance. If there be a battle in China a hundred years hence snapshots of its most striking events will be published in the newspapers an hour later. Even to-day photographs are being telegraphed over short distances. Photographs will reproduce all of Nature’s colors.
  • There will be No C, X or Q in our every-day alphabet. They will be abandoned because unnecessary. Spelling by sound will have been adopted, first by the newspapers. English will be a language of condensed words expressing condensed ideas, and will be more extensively spoken than any other. Russian will rank second.

You can see an image of the actual article here, or a transcribed text version here.

This entry was posted on Monday, December 3rd, 02007 at 4:04 pm and is filed under Futures, Long Bets.

  • Bruno Grieco

    IMHO, what we should regard about this text is how much we “understood” ourselves 100 years ago and how we cannot do the same today.

    A century ago we wanted to be able to talk from the middle of the Atlantic Ocean to Chicago, we wanted to have operas transmitted by telephone.

    We wanted to have compulsory exercises in schools AND we wanted to treat people who cannot walk 10 miles as a weakling.
    BUT, after 1936, we saw that prejudice and racism would bring us to a dead end.

    Back then we wanted to give kids free, quality education, but we still cannot solve this problem. Which is not a technical one.

    So my question would be:
    What DO we want today that could shape our world in the next 100 years ?

  • http://www.davidpalmerstudio.com David

    This one scared me:
    Prediction #19: Grand Opera will be telephoned to private homes…

  • http://dmtr.org/ dimitre

    this is marvellous.
    reminds me a bit of Arthur Clarke predictions for the next century
    http://www.dimaggio.org/AIG/Newsletters/newslett11.htm

Some Rights Reserved (CC)

The Long Now Foundation - Fostering Long-term Responsibility - est. 01996.