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Harry Potter and the Prophecy of Prediction Markets

July 20th, 02007 by Kevin Kelly

Prediction markets can use the signals in both greed and the wisdom of the crowds to forecast. Some people are using their coin to vote for the final end of Harry Potter. As this graph from NewsFutures shows, there’s a 75% chance he’ll live.


© NewsFutures

Come back tomorrow to see how accurate this short term prediction has been.

This entry was posted on Friday, July 20th, 02007 at 9:39 am and is filed under Futures. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

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