Archive for September, 02007

We are all temporal chauvinists now

Thursday, September 13th, 02007

Last month I came across an interesting Long Now-flavoured idea in an unexpected context, a feature article in Honolulu Weekly about agricultural tourism on the Hawaiian island of Maui. In it, farmer Richard Clark points out that humans, with an average lifespan of 70 plus years, are “temporal chauvinists” who like to use solar years to measure time, while many other species’ lives play out over entirely different time scales.

A word on etymology. Chauvinism comes to us from one Nicolas Chauvin, a (possibly legendary) soldier in Napoleon’s Grand Armée whose attachment to the Empire persisted long after its day was done. So, while the term originally referred to a sort of blind patriotism, other single-minded partisan attachments have earned the dubious honour of bearing Chauvin’s name — male chauvinism, female chauvinism… and “temporal chauvinism”, which seems to have been coined several times independently (not surprisingly, for an idea whose time has come).

The point is that, thanks to habit and small-mindedness, we’ve become committed — without realising it — to a view of time which is profoundly limited and, frankly, limiting as well. When Stewart Brand warns of civilisation “revving itself into a pathologically short attention span”, he is referring to our culture’s troubling temporal chauvinism, to which the whole Long Now concept is addressed: it’s a social intervention designed to reopen our sense of time, thereby fostering long-term responsibility.

A related idea in the field of futures studies is what University of Hawaii futurist and politicial science professor Jim Dator calls “the crackpot realism of the present”. For Dator, temporal crackpot realism is our “fully understandable but quite misleading belief that the world of the present will dominate the future”, and the concomitant failure to consider other possibilities seriously.

His idea reworks a concept from sociologist C. Wright Mills, who used the term “crackpot realism” in his 01958 book The Causes of World War Three to describe “a high-flying moral rhetoric … joined with an opportunist crawling among a great scatter of unfocused fears and demands.” Mills wrote: “In fact, the main content of ‘politics’ is now a struggle among men equally expert in practical next steps—which, in summary, make up the thrust toward war—and in great, round, hortatory principles.” As one commentator has pointed out (almost half a century after Mills) this remains a recognisable feature of today’s political landscape.

It seems to me that the case for thinking about the future in plural terms (futures — that is, alternative scenarios, rather than a singular extrapolation of the present) is very similar to the argument for expanding our sense of time to encompass the “long now”. Both temporal chauvinism and crackpot realism appear blameless from inside their respective bubbles, because it seems obvious that the timeframe and circumstances of our own experience are all we need consider to get by. But those overgrown twins of naive thought about change — short-termism and monofuturism — having been identified as harmful and misguided, are being challenged. The movements to think about change longer-term, and pluralistically, are a reponse to them. In the face of what seem to be deeply ingrained reflexes, neither way of thinking is easy to adopt or develop; but both, I think, are essential.

Diamond Synchrotron to read the past

Thursday, September 13th, 02007

Ancient writing on scroll

The BBC is reporting on a new super bright x-ray source called a “Diamond Synchotron” (yes really) that could be used to view previously unreadable ancient texts. The synchotron could even be used to finish reading the parts of the Dead Sea Scrolls that have yet to even be unrolled due to their fragility.

35-year Time Lapse of Tokyo Skyline

Monday, September 10th, 02007


This 10 second time lapse compresses 35 years of skyscraper construction in Shinjuku district of Tokyo. It’s worth watching several times. Watch on YouTube or click here:

Are we being good ancestors?

Monday, September 10th, 02007

Jamais Cascio, friend of Long Now, and now a “foresight consultant” posted his recent speech to the Singularity Summit on his website.

Besides being a pretty fine manifesto for an open future, it started with a very long-now-ish quote:

I was reminded, earlier this year, of an observation made by polio vaccine pioneer Dr. Jonas Salk. He said that the most important question we can ask of ourselves is, “are we being good ancestors?” …..In our work, in our policies, in our choices, in the alternatives that we open and those that we close, are we being good ancestors? Our actions, our lives have consequences, and we must realize that it is incumbent upon us to ask if the consequences we’re bringing about are desirable.

It’s not an easy question to answer, in part because it can be an uncomfortable examination. But this question becomes especially challenging when we recognize that even small choices matter. It’s not just the multi-billion dollar projects and unmistakably world-altering ideas that will change the lives of our descendants. Sometimes, perhaps most of the time, profound consequences can arise from the most prosaic of topics.

Time zones unfolding

Monday, September 10th, 02007

This time lapse video of flight patterns as they unfold over the course of a day over North America is one of my favorite pieces of data-crunched-into-video-art.  I especially like how you can see the morning flights wash through the time zones.

History by the powers of ten

Sunday, September 9th, 02007

Sent in by David Bryson via Stewart Brand is this nifty powers of ten mnemonic of history. Nice and concise yet covers all ten major developments since the earth began :)

Farming loses dominance for first time in 10,000 years

Friday, September 7th, 02007

Peter Magnussen wrote an excellent blog piece on the most recent International Labour Organization report that shows that for first time in 10,000 years, farming is no longer the dominant industry on the planet.

 And thus passes a tremendous milestone in the history of our species. Farming, invented around 8000 BC, quickly dominated human activity and has continued to for some 10,000 years. And we even find that the agriculture->industry->services transition doesn’t hold up globally. The industry segment simply isn’t big enough, so increasingly workers go directly from farming to services.

(Thanks to Ed Sisson for bringing this to my attention)

Global Dimming

Thursday, September 6th, 02007

This documentary by the BBC on Global Dimming is probably the most alarming global climate issue I have seen to date (and I was reminded of it this morning as the sun was dimmed from a local fire). It points out the simple long term agricultural measurements that show the amount of sunlight hitting the earth has been decreasing over the last century by anywhere from 10-30% (depending on the continent). If this is true, the ambient temperature should be cooling drastically, but the current trend is the opposite. This would mean that the soot and particulates being put into the atmosphere by human activity such as fires and industry, are actually masking the effects of global warming by a huge degree.

Discussed in the documentary are the ten days that planes stopped flying in the US after 9/11. This had a measurable increasing effect on sunlight and ambient temperature. The most daunting part about this dimming notion, is that it means that if we continue to clean up emissions that are dimming the planet, we might accelerate global warming. This would mena that we MUST also reduce greenhouse gases at the same time, and it must be coordinated globally. If these are not done in concert with one another, the countries that are decreasing their emissions, will be increasing their temperature instead of decreasing it. It is postulated in this documentary that the recent deadly heat waves of Europe and Africa are in fact the earths response to decreased emissions in Europe.

Billion-Year Mashup

Wednesday, September 5th, 02007

In today’s New York Times, author Timothy Ferris writes an ode to the multi-media disc of human activity that was sent into the cosmos on the Voyager 1 spacecraft. Despite the harsh — though stable — conditions in space, Ferris, who produced the gold plated disc, believes this record will last one billion years. If he is correct, this tiny disc could be the human artifact with the greatest longevity every produced.

If all continues to go well, Voyager should pierce the heliosphere’s outer skin by around 2015. It will then depart into the void of interstellar space, where it is destined to wander among the stars forever. The information etched into the grooves of the Voyager record is expected to last at least one billion years. That’s a long time: A billion years ago, life on Earth was first venturing forth from the seas.

Mindful of this mind-boggling fact, the astronomers Carl Sagan and Frank Drake persuaded NASA to attach a gold-plated phonograph record to each of the Voyager spacecraft. Containing photographs, natural sounds of Earth and 90 minutes of music from all over our world, the record was intended to preserve something of human culture beyond what an intelligent extraterrestrial, encountering the craft at some far-distant time and place, might infer from the spacecraft itself.

The information etched into the grooves of the Voyager record is expected to last at least one billion years. That’s a long time: A billion years ago, life on Earth was first venturing forth from the seas.

ISO standards go toward open source

Tuesday, September 4th, 02007

Some good news for data that wants to last beyond the next version of Microsoft Office…  The recent International Standards Organization (ISO) vote on whether to adopt Microsoft’s “Open XML” file format as a standard has narrowly failed for now.  In part they failed due to questions about the long term viability of a format controlled by one company:

Microsoft has also faced resistance from some government bodies worried that by storing documents in the Office format, they’ll be forever locked in to buying Microsoft software to decode them. Microsoft has pressed for the new format’s acceptance as a open standard in part to defuse these concerns.  - WSJ

It is good to see governments veering off a privately controlled file format standard, albeit for near-term economic reasons.  It is most interesting that (at least in the quoted article) no concerns were raised about the much longer horizon of government data, and that in fact Microsoft may not always be around to support it at any cost.


Close
E-mail It
Socialized through Gregarious 39