Chickens come home to roost in 02008
December 9th, 02008 by Alexander Rose
The Foreign Policy journal has an excellent top ten list for 02008. Top ten worst predictions. This type of accountability is exactly why we started Long Bets. Excerpts below:
“[A]nyone who says we’re in a recession, or heading into one—especially the worst one since the Great Depression—is making up his own private definition of ‘recession.’” —Donald Luskin, The Washington Post, Sept. 14, 2008
“If [Hillary Clinton] gets a race against John Edwards and Barack Obama, she’s going to be the nominee. Gore is the only threat to her, then. … Barack Obama is not going to beat Hillary Clinton in a single Democratic primary. I’ll predict that right now.” —William Kristol, Fox News Sunday, Dec. 17, 2006
“There is a real possibility of creating destructive theoretical anomalies such as miniature black holes, strangelets and deSitter space transitions. These events have the potential to fundamentally alter matter and destroy our planet.” —Walter Wagner, LHCDefense.org regarding the Large Hadron Collider
This entry was posted on Tuesday, December 9th, 2008 at 11:47 am and is filed under Long Bets. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
Posted on December 9th, 2008 at 10:42 pm
isn’t the LHC down right now?
Posted on January 18th, 2009 at 11:50 pm
Actually the LHC has not been run up to where it could (in the minds of the doomsayers) become dangerous. To draw an analogy, the car has been started and the motor checked to see that it was working, but has not been driven yet.
PS I do not agree with the doomsayers but the “death of the prediction of doom” is not valid
Posted on February 21st, 2009 at 4:18 pm
Nice to see that two of the top 10 are prominent neocons – William Kristol and Charles Krauthammer.
If you want to see some really funny stuff, look at some of the Iraq war predictions from before March 2003.