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Blog Archive for the ‘Futures’ Category

Philip Tetlock – Ignore confident forecasters

by Stewart Brand on January 27th, 02007

Ignore confident forecasters “What is it about politics that makes people so dumb?” From his perspective as a pyschology researcher, Philip Tetlock watched political advisors on the left and the right make bizarre rationalizations about their wrong predictions at the time of the rise of Gorbachev in the 1980s and the eventual collapse of the…  Read More

Yucca Mountain’s Future

by Peter Schwartz on March 3rd, 02002

This article was written by Peter Schwartz for Red Herring’s 02002 Scenarios issue. This is the original un-edited piece. Yucca Mountain in southern Nevada is more a ridge than a mountain. It slowly rises from a height of four thousand feet to six thousand feet along its’ length of six miles. On February 28 seven…  Read More

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