Support Long-term Thinking
Support Long-term Thinking

Ray Kurzweil – “Kurzweil’s Law”

by Stewart Brand on September 26th, 02005

Escape velocity Attempts to think long term, Ray Kurzweil began, keep making the mistake of imagining that the pace of the future is like the pace of the past. Pondering the next ten years, we usually begin by studying the last ten years. He recommends studying the last twenty year for clues about the rate…  Read More

Robert Fuller – “Patient Revolution: Human Rights Past and Future”

by Stewart Brand on August 15th, 02005

The culminating human right What does it take to change human habits of cruelty (such as slavery, genocide) and humiliation (racism, sexism)? What do past and present efforts for human rights tell about their future?… Robert Fuller is author of the ground-breaking SOMEBODIES AND NOBODIES: OVERCOMING THE ABUSE OF RANK. “Personal is political,” Robert Fuller…  Read More

Jared Diamond – “How Societies Fail-And Sometimes Succeed”

by Simone Davalos on July 18th, 02005

On failing to think long-term Sophisticated societies from time to time collapse utterly, often leaving traces of a civilization that was at a proud peak just before the fall. Other societies facing the same dangers figure out how to adapt around them, recover, and go on to further centuries of success. Tonight the author of…  Read More

Robert Neuwirth – “The 21ist Century Medieval City”

by Stewart Brand on June 13th, 02005

World squatter reality Humanity is urbanizing at a world-changing pace and in a world-changing way. A billion squatters are re-inventing their lives and their cities simultaneously. One of the few to experience the range of the phenomenon first hand is Robert Neuwirth, author of SHADOW CITIES: A BILLION SQUATTERS, A NEW URBAN WORLD. He took…  Read More

Will Jarvis – “Time Capsule Behavior”

by Stewart Brand on May 16th, 02005

Time capsule secrets High school classes and world’s fairs do it. Universities and builders and companies and municipalities do it. They bury little hoards of things they think people in the future will treasure— the future being ten years or ten thousand or never (most time capsules are immediately forgotten). Something strange, deep, and rather…  Read More

Stewart Brand – “Cities And Time”

by Simone Davalos on April 11th, 02005

A world made of cities Cities are the human organizations with the greatest longevity but also the fastest rate of change. Just now the world is going massively and unstoppably urban (governments everywhere are trying to stop it, with zero success). In a globalized world, city states are re-emerging as a dominant economic player. Environmental…  Read More

Spencer Beebe – “Very Long-term Very Large-scale Biomimicry”

by Stewart Brand on March 14th, 02005

The rainforests of home SPENCER BEEBE is founder and head of Ecotrust, the Portland-based organization that is setting in motion a permanently prosperous conservation economy for the entire Pacific Coast from San Francisco north to Alaska— the temperate rain forest also known as “Salmon Nation.” SPENCER BEEBE began his Seminar About Long-term Thinking last night…  Read More

Roger Kennedy – “The Political History of North America from 25,000 BC to 2100 AD”

by Simone Davalos on February 11th, 02005

Ancient American politics ROGER KENNEDY, the former head of the Smithsonian National Museum of American History and former Director of the US National Park Service, is so eloquent that Walt Kelly based a “Pogo” character on him (the bear P.T. Bridgeport, whose speech balloons are circus posters). Roger Kennedy’s most driving current interest is the…  Read More

James P. Carse – “Religious War in Light of the Infinite Game”

by Stewart Brand on January 17th, 02005

Finite and infinite games Countless readers have been hooked by the opening line of James P. Carse’s FINITE AND INFINITE GAMES— “There are at least two kinds of games. One could be called finite, the other, infinite. A finite game is played for the purpose of winning, an infinite game for the purpose of continuing…  Read More

Ken Dychtwald – The Consequences Of Human Life Extension”

by Stewart Brand on December 6th, 02004

What long life means Ken Dychtwald gave a terrific talk Friday evening to a standing-room audience on “The Consequences of Human Life Extension.” The growing—and soon overwhelming—prevalence of the old in developed nations is leading to a “new old.” Ken described meeting a bright-eyed apparent 70-year-old who talked about his gym workouts. “I asked when…  Read More