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Blog Archive for the ‘Economics’ Category

Honduran Charter Cities and Path Dependency

by Charlotte Hajer on February 22nd, 02013

In 02011, economist Paul Romer was given an opportunity that few of his colleagues ever get: a chance to see one of his theories tested in a real-world setting. Octavio Sanchez, an idealistic government official in Honduras, saw in Romer’s proposal a resemblance to an idea of his own: to solve the country. . .   Read More

The Long View on Real Estate

by Charlotte Hajer on October 17th, 02012

Sometimes a long view can yield a very different perspective than the short view.

Take housing prices, for example. For the past five years or so, the news media have often characterized the housing market as ‘volatile’ and ‘fragile’. The statistics certainly bear this out: from 02000 to 02008, the global housing boom propelled real. . .   Read More

Paul Saffo on The Great Turbulence

by Alex Mensing on August 24th, 02012

Forecaster and Long Now board member Paul Saffo will be speaking at San Francisco’s Commonwealth Club on Thursday, September 6th about the next few decades of global economic trends.

The talk, entitled “The Great Turbulence: Economics and the New Global Order,” begins at 6pm and will be moderated by Matt Richtel, author of Our. . .   Read More

Buffett gains ground in hedge fund bet

by Austin Brown on March 22nd, 02012

In 02008, Warren Buffet placed a Long Bet that will take until 02017 to resolve. He predicted that for those ten years, “the S & P 500 will outperform a portfolio of funds of hedge funds, when performance is measured on a basis net of fees, costs and expenses.”

Below is a summary of how. . .   Read More

Simon vs. Ehrlich, Round 2

by Alex Mensing on October 13th, 02011

Roger Pielke Jr. made an observation on his blog recently regarding the past decade’s rapid increase in commodity prices and the classic debate between optimistic Cornucopians and pessimistic Malthusians. In 01990 ecologist Paul Ehrlich – who has spoken at The Long Now Foundation’s SALT series – lost a decade-long bet to economist Julian Simon. . .   Read More

China’s Unthinkable Population Problem

by Austin Brown on June 22nd, 02011

In his post earlier today, Bryan Campen mentioned Kevin Kelly’s 02019 Unthinkables – a set of predictions he made in 1999 that were specifically meant to be outlandish or – eponymously – unthinkable.

With 12 years of perspective on the predictions, Kelly concludes his post by saying that he doesn’t think any of them will come. . .   Read More

The Warren Buffett-hedge fund bet tightens

by Austin Brown on April 27th, 02011

In 02008, Warren Buffet placed a Long Bet that will take until 02017 to resolve. He predicted that for those ten years, “the S & P 500 will outperform a portfolio of funds of hedge funds, when performance is measured on a basis net of fees, costs and expenses.”
Below is a summary of how. . .   Read More

Water Becomes a Global Commodity

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on January 14th, 02011

Newsweek reports that Sitka, Alaska is looking at selling 3 billion of gallons of water for bottling in Mumbai India shipped via tanker.  This will mark one of the first major water transfers of this sort, making water a globally traded commodity.  It also brings up some interesting questions around climate change and how it. . .   Read More

Nils Gilman, “Deviant Globalization”

by Danielle Engelman on May 5th, 02010

The anti-state economy

Gilman described deviant globalization as “the unpleasant underside of transnational integration.”

There’s nice tourism, and then sex tourism, such as in Thailand and Switzerland. The vast pharmacology industry is matched by a vast traffic in illegal drugs. The underside of waste disposal is the criminal dumping in the developing world. . .   Read More

How to Prevent the Next Global Crisis

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on April 23rd, 02010

Member Tyler Emerson sent in a link to this article by Larry Brilliant on “How to Prevent the Next Global Crisis”.  Many of you know Mr. Brilliant as the former director of Google.org, he was also former Long Now Seminar speaker, and is now directing Skoll’s Global Threat initiative.

This is also hot. . .   Read More