Support Long-term Thinking
Support Long-term Thinking

Blog Archive for the ‘Government’ Category

ISO standards go toward open source

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on September 4th, 02007

Some good news for data that wants to last beyond the next version of Microsoft Office…  The recent International Standards Organization (ISO) vote on whether to adopt Microsoft’s “Open XML” file format as a standard has narrowly failed for now.  In part they failed due to questions about the long term viability of a. . .   Read More

Politics or foresight

by Stuart Candy on July 25th, 02007

…take your pick.

(Thanks to Jamais Cascio for spotting this.)

From an interview with US Secretary of State, Condoleeza Rice, by BusinessWeek magazine:
BusinessWeek: Would you consider a position in business or on Wall Street?
Condoleezza Rice: I don’t know what I’ll do long-term. I’m a terrible long-term planner.
~ “A. . .   Read More

Francis Fukuyama, Democracy versus culture

by Stewart Brand on June 29th, 02007

Democracy versus Culture

Francis Fukuyama began by describing the four most significant challenges to the thesis in his famed 1992 book, The End of History and the Last Man. In the book he proposed that humanity’s economic progress over the past 10,000 years was driven by the accumulation of science and technology over. . .   Read More

Public data and proprietary systems…

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on March 20th, 02007

There is a good story in today’s Herald Tribune on how costly digital loss can be:
“JUNEAU, Alaska: Perhaps you know that sinking feeling when a single keystroke accidentally destroys hours of work. Now imagine wiping out a disk drive containing information for an account worth $38 billion (€29 billion).
That is what happened. . .   Read More

Three Predictions

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on February 23rd, 02007

It’s a bit rare that we see such clear and succinct predictions. These three by Ari Emanuel were published at the Huffington Post and were forwarded to me by Paul Saffo:

I have three predictions to make this morning: 1) John McCain will not be the Republican Party’s nominee. 2) Hillary Clinton will. . .   Read More

Philip Tetlock – Ignore confident forecasters

by Stewart Brand on January 27th, 02007

Ignore confident forecasters

“What is it about politics that makes people so dumb?” From his perspective as a pyschology researcher, Philip Tetlock watched political advisors on the left and the right make bizarre rationalizations about their wrong predictions at the time of the rise of Gorbachev in the 1980s and the eventual collapse of the. . .   Read More

Orville Schell – “China Thinks Long-term, But Can It Relearn to Act Long-term?”

by Simone Davalos on October 4th, 02006

Giant contradictions

“China is the most unresolved nation of consequence in the world,” Orville Schell began. It is defined by its massive contradictions. And by its massiveness— China’s population is estimated to be 1.25 to 1.3 billion; the margin of error in the estimate is greater than the population of France. It. . .   Read More

Modern History Gap

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on September 13th, 02006

Storing information is easier than ever, but it’s also never been so easy to lose it — forever. We could end up with a modern history gap.

By Charles Piller, LA Times Staff Writer
September 13, 2006

Carter G. Walker remembers the day her memories vanished.

After sending an e-mail to her aunt, the. . .   Read More

John Rendon – “Long-term Policy to Make the War on Terror Short”

by Stewart Brand on July 17th, 02006

Only connect

John Rendon, head of The Rendon Group, is a senior communications consultant to the White Houses and Departments of Defense. His subject in this talk is how to replace tactical, reactive response to terror with long-term strategic initative.

I think that people were expecting a silver-tongued devil, an accomplished spin-meister. . .   Read More

Robert Fuller – “Patient Revolution: Human Rights Past and Future”

by Stewart Brand on August 15th, 02005

The culminating human right

What does it take to change human habits of cruelty (such as slavery, genocide) and humiliation (racism, sexism)?

What do past and present efforts for human rights tell about their future?…

Robert Fuller is author of the ground-breaking SOMEBODIES AND NOBODIES: OVERCOMING THE ABUSE OF RANK.

“Personal is political,” Robert. . .   Read More