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Blog Archive for the ‘Long-term Thinking’ Category

Blue eyed Adam

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on February 4th, 02008

Genetic Archeology (very cool site in its own right) is reporting new research that suggests that all blue eyed people stem from a common ancestor 6-10,000 years ago.
“They have all inherited the same switch at exactly the same spot in their DNA” says Professor Eiberg.  Brown-eyed individuals, by contrast, have considerable. . .   Read More

The Long View abides

by Stuart Candy on February 1st, 02008

Long Now board member Peter Schwartz‘s The Art of the Long View has topped the list of the most important futures works ever, in a worldwide vote by members of the Association of Professional Futurists (APF). Congratulations, Peter! The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World was first published…  Read More

Two Energy Futures

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on January 30th, 02008

This week Shell oil published an article by their president Jeroen van der Veer about how he sees the future of energy through 02100. It is surprisingly non-corporate and shows how at least one of the largest oil companies in the world views the coming energy and environmental shortfalls. Most surprising to me is. . .   Read More

Art by accident

by Stuart Candy on January 25th, 02008

Can art by accident be bred And if it were would art be dead? There is a classic thought experiment made famous by French mathematician Émile Borel, the “infinite monkey theorem“, which states — and I paraphrase — that with enough monkeys pounding away for enough time at enough keyboards (and sustained, presumably, by a…  Read More

How Not to Do a Time Capsule

by Kevin Kelly on January 18th, 02008

A buried time capsule is a popular way to mark an anniversary for a school or community. Hundreds of thousands of capsules have been buried in the last 50 years. Every now and then one is remembered and resurrected. In 1957 the city of Tulsa, Oklahoma entombed a brand new 1957 Plymouth Belvedere, stuffed with. . .   Read More

The century palm

by Stuart Candy on January 17th, 02008

Image: John Dransfield / Royal Botanic Gardens via AP

Associated Press reports (via Discovery Science):
A self-destructing palm tree that flowers once every 100 years and then dies has been discovered on the Indian Ocean island of Madagascar, botanists said Thursday.
Local villagers have known about it for years although none had seen it in. . .   Read More

Paul Saffo, “Embracing Uncertainty – the secret to effective forecasting”

by Stewart Brand on January 14th, 02008

Rules of Forecasting

Reflecting on his 25 years as a forecaster, Paul Saffo pointed out that a forecaster’s job is not to predict outcomes, but to map the “cone of uncertainty” on a subject. Where are the edges of what might happen? (Uncertainty is cone-shaped because it expands as you project further into. . .   Read More

Long Term Philanthropy

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on January 14th, 02008

Denise Caruso wrote a nice article on a possible trend in longer term giving in last week New York Times. It dove tails well into the Katherine Fulton’s seminar on the “New Philanthropy” (with Larry Brilliant and Richard Rockefeller). It seems to be part of a multi-decade pendulum of sorts in the trends of non-profit…  Read More

Long-Term Digital Dilemma

by Kevin Kelly on December 24th, 02007

The New York Times and the Hollywood Reporter both have recently written about a new 74-page report from the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences called “The Digital Dilemma: Strategic Issues in Archiving and Accessing Digital Motion Picture Materials” (not yet online).

The paper addresses a perennial Long Now concern: the ephemeral nature. . .   Read More

Naming of a new world

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on December 14th, 02007

 Reuters is running this interesting story about a map created in 01507 that is the first to have named the new world “America”.  Even more interesting is how accurately it shows unexplored territories such as South America (within 70 miles of accuracy), and shows the Pacific Ocean which was not known to have existed at. . .   Read More