Support Long-term Thinking
Support Long-term Thinking

Blog Archive for the ‘Psychology’ Category

A mental health break

by Kirk Citron on September 26th, 02009

The Long News: stories that might still matter fifty, or a hundred, or ten thousand years from now.

Roy McDonald writes: “For the long news I’d suggest almost anything on mental health. My thesis is that we are in the stone age in understanding mental illness, minor and major and that it’s something. . .   Read More

72 Years of Happiness

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on June 12th, 02009

This month some results were published from the now 72 year long Happiness Study at Harvard of 268 wealthy and priveleged men.  NPR also ran a story on this recently with interviews of the case researchers.  What was most striking to me is that in all cases, the money and success were not indicators of. . .   Read More

We have met the enemy and he is us

by Paul Saffo on April 24th, 02009

It has been half a year since the financial meltdown began in earnest, and everyone from Senators, to CEOs, to suffering homeowners is suffering from crisis fatigue. We face myriad perils ahead as we navigate our way out of this vast mess, but the greatest peril of all comes from our frightening adaptability. What still. . .   Read More

We are programmed to be interrupted.

by Austin Brown on February 20th, 02009

Wired has a great interview with an author named Maggie Jackson who has written a book about the neurobiological basis of attention and how it is affected by all the “lovely distractions” modern society provides.   Distracted: The Erosion of Attention and the Coming Dark Age describes three types of attention – orientation, a general sense of. . .   Read More

Psychology of long-term thinking

by Alexander Rose - Twitter: @zander on January 28th, 02009

Last Friday I attended the Prediction Markets Summit here in San Francisco.  I met Robin Hanson there who clued me into an article published in Science (subscr. req’d.) on the Psychology of Transcending the Here and Now.  Most impressive is that the study itself seems to span several decades.  Hanson wrote this up on. . .   Read More

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, “The Future Has Always Been Crazier Than We Thought”

by Stewart Brand on February 7th, 02008

Dispatches from Extremistan

A “black swan,” Taleb explained, is an event which is 1) Hard to predict; 2) Highly consequential; 3) Wrongly retro-predicted. We pretend we know why the big event happened, and so entrench our inability to deal with the next world-changing improbable event.

Examples: Viagra, 9/11, Harry Potter, First World. . .   Read More

Long Term Thinking Uses Separate Neural System

by Kevin Kelly on August 10th, 02007

From Science Blogs comes this news about how long term thinking uses separate neural pathways in our brains than short term thinking.

So why do people take out sub-prime loans? Don’t they realize that they won’t be able to afford the ensuing 28 years of mortgage payments? I think a big part. . .   Read More

Philip Tetlock – Ignore confident forecasters

by Stewart Brand on January 27th, 02007

Ignore confident forecasters

“What is it about politics that makes people so dumb?” From his perspective as a pyschology researcher, Philip Tetlock watched political advisors on the left and the right make bizarre rationalizations about their wrong predictions at the time of the rise of Gorbachev in the 1980s and the eventual collapse of the. . .   Read More

James P. Carse – “Religious War in Light of the Infinite Game”

by Stewart Brand on January 17th, 02005

Finite and infinite games

Countless readers have been hooked by the opening line of James P. Carse’s FINITE AND INFINITE GAMES— “There are at least two kinds of games. One could be called finite, the other, infinite. A finite game is played for the purpose of winning, an infinite game for the purpose of. . .   Read More