Join our community of long-term thinkers from around the world. Memberships available.
Support Long-term ThinkingJoin our community of long-term thinkers from around the world. Memberships available.
Support Long-term ThinkingLong Now’s Executive Director Alexander Rose recently appeared on the Freakonomics podcast in Episode 381, “Long-term Thinking in a Start-up Town.” The podcast was recorded before a live audience in a variety show format. In addition to Rose, the show featured the co-founder of Lyft, a pioneer in male birth control. . . Read More
This year, Warren Buffett won his multi-million dollar, decade-long Long Bet.
From the preacher warning that the day of reckoning is nigh, to the sports analyst prognosticating about the outcome of next week’s big game, to the fortune teller calling for hard times in Mercury retrograde, predictions are pervasive, but accountability is. . . Read More
SAN FRANCISCO, CA. February 9, 02018.* The Long Now Foundation today announced that it has arrived at a decision for Long Bets #362, popularly known as the “Million Dollar Buffett Bet,” between Warren Buffett and Protégé Partners LLC. Warren Buffett has won the bet, and by a significant margin.
In the bet, Warren Buffett. . . Read More
Long Now Partners with Zebra Movement to Help Bring Long-Term Thinking to Startups and Venture Capital
The disruptive potential of Silicon Valley, epitomized in the mantra to “move fast and break things”, was once praised as its killer feature. These days, it is increasingly perceived as a bug. Startups come and go, but the. . . Read More
The Sudo family has been making sake for almost 900 years in Japan’s oldest brewery. Genuemon Sudo, who is the 55th generation of his family to carry on the tradition, said that at the root of Sudo’s longevity is a commitment to protecting the natural environment:
Sake is made from rice. Good rice. . . Read More
This lecture was presented as part of The Long Now Foundation’s monthly Seminars About Long-term Thinking.
Helping Revitalize a City
Tuesday April 22, 02014 – San Francisco
Video is up on the Hsieh Seminar page.
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Audio is up on the Hsieh Seminar page, or you can subscribe to our podcast.
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The downtown company – a. . . Read More
Tony Hsieh is perhaps best known as a successful Silicon Valley entrepreneur. He founded and then sold LinkExchange in the late 01990s, before going on to become CEO of online retail giant Zappos. But what Hsieh really does is build communities. Corporate tech is, for him, primarily a way to bring people together and foster. . . Read More
“The Starships ARE Coming”
Tuesday September 17, 02013 at SFJAZZ Center, San Francisco
Peter Schwartz likes taking a long view. He’s a founding board member of The Long Now Foundation and in his career as a scenario planner he’s at the forefront of futurist thought, known for his book, The Art of the. . . Read More
In 02008, Warren Buffet placed a Long Bet that will take until 02017 to resolve. He predicted that for those ten years, “the S & P 500 will outperform a portfolio of funds of hedge funds, when performance is measured on a basis net of fees, costs and expenses.”
Below is a summary of how. . . Read More
This was one of the our first Long Bets, made in 02002. Over ten years ago now, Esther Dyson predicted that,
“By 2012, the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times will have referred to Russia as “the world leader in software development” or words to that effect.”
She was challenged by Bill Campbell. . . Read More