Support Long-term Thinking
Support Long-term Thinking

Blog Archive for the ‘Long-term Thinking’ Category

Sweden’s Minister of the Future

by Andrew Warner on December 8th, 02015

Sweden’s Minister of the Future, Kristina Persson, has been tasked with expanding the temporal horizons of government plans and “constantly remind others to include the long-term in the decision making process.”
The idea behind the creation of such a ministry was a simple one: for Sweden to remain competitive tomorrow, it might, unfortunately. . .   Read More

Philip Tetlock, “All It Takes to Improve Forecasting is: KEEP SCORE”

by Andrew Warner on November 30th, 02015

This lecture was presented as part of The Long Now Foundation’s monthly Seminars About Long-term Thinking.

Superforecasting
Monday November 23, 02015 – San Francisco

Audio is up on the Tetlock Seminar page, or you can subscribe to our podcast.
*********************

All it takes to improve forecasting is KEEP SCORE – a summary by Stewart Brand
Will. . .   Read More

The Artangel Longplayer Letters: Manuel Arriaga writes to Giles Fraser

by Andrew Warner on November 18th, 02015

In May, John Burnside  wrote a letter to Manuel Arriga as part of the Artangel Longplayer Letters series. The series is a relay-style correspondence: The first letter was written by Brian Eno to Nassim Taleb. Nassim Taleb then wrote to Stewart Brand, and Stewart wrote to Esther Dyson, who wrote to Carne Ross, who. . .   Read More

Steven Johnson takes a Long Now Perspective on the Superintelligence Threat

by Andrew Warner on November 12th, 02015

Steven Johnson, former Seminar speaker & author of How We Got to Now, recently wrote on the dangers of A.I. on his blog “How We Got To Next”. He discusses evolutionary software, the existential threat of A.I., before concluding with a meditation of long-term thinking and The Long Now Foundation:
One of. . .   Read More

James Fallows gives update to his “Civilization’s Infrastructure” Seminar

by Andrew Warner on November 5th, 02015

We under-imagine benefits and over-imagine problems with civilian infrastructure projects, yet we do the opposite with military infrastructure-scale weapons systems.  Both behaviors defy reason and cause harm.
— Stewart Brand
James Fallows recently wrote a piece for the Atlantic describing common bias in dealing with military infrastructure vs. public infrastructure, expanding on the. . .   Read More

10,000 Years of Oral Narrative

by Charlotte Hajer on October 29th, 02015

Just off the coast of Australia, a few miles west of Perth, lie three small limestone islands. Today they’re a popular destination for boat trips and air taxis, but a local Aboriginal tribe tells stories of a time when these three isles were connected to the mainland by lush forest. One day, the stories. . .   Read More

Ancient Venture Capitalism and its Lessons for the Modern Economy

by Charlotte Hajer on September 24th, 02015

Our understanding of ancient civilizations can be spotty. Because not all cultural artifacts withstand the test of time, we have to piece together our portraits of these societies with partial clues, making inferences where needed to cover gaps in the archaeological record.
But one of these clues offers a remarkably detailed picture of economic life. . .   Read More

Paul Saffo Featured on Singularity Hub’s Ask An Expert Series

by Charlotte Hajer on August 17th, 02015

This week’s episode of Singularity Hub’s Ask an Expert features Long Now Board member Paul Saffo.

Ask an Expert is a new web series in which, well, experts answer tweeted questions about the future of technology. In this episode, Paul discusses virtual reality, weighs in on the word ‘disrupt’, and considers the possibility. . .   Read More

The Really Big One

by Andrew Warner on July 13th, 02015

On the face of it, earthquakes seem to present us with problems of space: the way we live along fault lines, in brick buildings, in homes made valuable by their proximity to the sea. But, covertly, they also present us with problems of time. The earth is 4.5 billion years old, but we are. . .   Read More

The Artangel Longplayer Letters: John Burnside writes to Manuel Arriaga

by Andrew Warner on May 26th, 02015

In April, Carne Ross wrote a letter to John Burnside as part of the Artangel Longplayer Letters series. The series is a relay-style correspondence: The first letter was written by Brian Eno to Nassim Taleb. Nassim Taleb then wrote to Stewart Brand, and Stewart wrote to Esther Dyson, who wrote to Carne Ross, who. . .   Read More